{ "slug": "2028-democratic-presidential-nominee", "event_ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28", "series_ticker": "KXPRESNOMD", "title": "2028 Democratic presidential nominee", "category": "Elections", "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-nominee/", "kalshi_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomd", "updated": "2026-10-25T11:20:07+00:00", "closed": false, "volume_contracts": 247050130.89, "volume_24h_contracts": 684247.97, "open_interest_contracts": 163128847.91, "outcomes": [ { "name": "Jon Ossoff", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JOSS", "probability": 0.155, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 9267293.57, "open_interest_contracts": 5134221.83, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Gavin Newsom", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-GN", "probability": 0.145, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_contracts": 11318221.44, "open_interest_contracts": 5132963.45, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC", "probability": 0.135, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_contracts": 9858896.86, "open_interest_contracts": 4828109.06, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Kamala Harris", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-KH", "probability": 0.0715, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 8724883.79, "open_interest_contracts": 5169170.05, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Pete Buttigieg", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-PB", "probability": 0.0465, "change_24h": -0.001, "volume_contracts": 6598594.74, "open_interest_contracts": 4251040.0, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Josh Shapiro", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JS", "probability": 0.0465, "change_24h": 0.002, "volume_contracts": 6210635.38, "open_interest_contracts": 4108921.41, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Andy Beshear", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-AB", "probability": 0.042, "change_24h": -0.003, "volume_contracts": 6884128.01, "open_interest_contracts": 4666325.3, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Mark Kelly", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-MK", "probability": 0.035, "change_24h": 0.001, "volume_contracts": 8331176.44, "open_interest_contracts": 4740919.48, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Rahm Emanuel", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA", "probability": 0.0295, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 7749328.05, "open_interest_contracts": 4789897.52, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "J.B. Pritzker", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JBP", "probability": 0.028, "change_24h": 0.001, "volume_contracts": 6559605.99, "open_interest_contracts": 4641757.22, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "James Talarico", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JTAL", "probability": 0.0255, "change_24h": 0.002, "volume_contracts": 8467855.99, "open_interest_contracts": 5088072.84, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Raphael Warnock", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-RW", "probability": 0.0225, "change_24h": 0.002, "volume_contracts": 5704131.36, "open_interest_contracts": 3978450.69, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Wes Moore", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-WM", "probability": 0.0215, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 5301244.93, "open_interest_contracts": 3755113.89, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Michelle Obama", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-MO", "probability": 0.0205, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_contracts": 7574732.48, "open_interest_contracts": 5320997.87, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Ro Khanna", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-RKHA", "probability": 0.0125, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 6940062.13, "open_interest_contracts": 4021486.34, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Abdul El-Sayed", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-AELS", "probability": 0.01, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 4970707.81, "open_interest_contracts": 3305465.44, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Chris Van Hollen", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-CHOL", "probability": 0.01, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 378714.83, "open_interest_contracts": 378714.83, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Mitch Landrieu", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-MLAN", "probability": 0.01, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 124012.77, "open_interest_contracts": 124012.77, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Hakeem Jeffries", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-HJEF", "probability": 0.01, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 47422.56, "open_interest_contracts": 47422.56, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Shawn Fain", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-SFAI", "probability": 0.01, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 33559.55, "open_interest_contracts": 33559.55, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Mary Peltola", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-MPEL", "probability": 0.01, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 287.95, "open_interest_contracts": 287.95, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "David Jolly", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-DJOL", "probability": 0.01, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 287.02, "open_interest_contracts": 287.02, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Sherrod Brown", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-SBRO", "probability": 0.01, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 196.37, "open_interest_contracts": 196.37, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Mark Cuban", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-MC", "probability": 0.0075, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 6021533.38, "open_interest_contracts": 4757976.68, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Gretchen Whitmer", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-GW", "probability": 0.0075, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 4868243.48, "open_interest_contracts": 3549331.13, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Cory Booker", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-CBOO", "probability": 0.0065, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 4224131.27, "open_interest_contracts": 3173005.91, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Roy Cooper", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-RC", "probability": 0.0065, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3605340.05, "open_interest_contracts": 3140183.5, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Chris Murphy", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-CMUR", "probability": 0.0055, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 4116852.87, "open_interest_contracts": 3170789.97, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Stephen A. Smith", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-SAS", "probability": 0.005, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 7186279.03, "open_interest_contracts": 4235895.87, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Bernie Sanders", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-BS", "probability": 0.0045, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 5361635.27, "open_interest_contracts": 4309190.06, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Ruben Gallego", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-RGAL", "probability": 0.0045, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3689749.06, "open_interest_contracts": 2865297.44, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Elissa Slotkin", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-ESLO", "probability": 0.0045, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3671939.46, "open_interest_contracts": 2904262.88, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Barack Obama", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-BOBA", "probability": 0.003, "change_24h": 0.001, "volume_contracts": 6354159.03, "open_interest_contracts": 4631924.43, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Jon Stewart", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JSTE", "probability": 0.003, "change_24h": 0.001, "volume_contracts": 5384812.15, "open_interest_contracts": 3598820.09, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Hunter Biden", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-HBID", "probability": 0.0025, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 8366454.21, "open_interest_contracts": 4130111.18, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Jamie Dimon", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JAM", "probability": 0.002, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3518781.39, "open_interest_contracts": 3056315.01, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Zohran Mamdani", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-ZMAM", "probability": 0.0015, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 9881824.83, "open_interest_contracts": 3975587.38, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Andrew Yang", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-AYAN", "probability": 0.0015, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 5155307.69, "open_interest_contracts": 3507447.94, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "John Fetterman", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JF", "probability": 0.0015, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 5147103.16, "open_interest_contracts": 3190297.13, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Tim Walz", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-TW", "probability": 0.0015, "change_24h": 0.001, "volume_contracts": 3471172.0, "open_interest_contracts": 2622644.09, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Amy Klobuchar", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-AKLO", "probability": 0.0015, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3299995.34, "open_interest_contracts": 2767666.93, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Dwayne Johnson", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-DJOH", "probability": 0.0015, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3070744.6, "open_interest_contracts": 2480019.36, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Graham Platner", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-GPLA", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 4300174.77, "open_interest_contracts": 2666282.71, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Liz Cheney", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-LC", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 4118020.23, "open_interest_contracts": 3358789.85, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Hillary Clinton", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-HCLI", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3232122.53, "open_interest_contracts": 2798955.29, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "LeBron James", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-LJAM", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3162652.65, "open_interest_contracts": 2140449.09, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Jared Polis", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JP", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 2747676.61, "open_interest_contracts": 2149592.54, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Gina Raimondo", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-GR", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 2741929.12, "open_interest_contracts": 2018738.78, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Phil Murphy", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-PHI", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 2724030.49, "open_interest_contracts": 2578409.49, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Jasmine Crockett", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-JCRO", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 2328224.2, "open_interest_contracts": 2063723.79, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Beto O'Rourke", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-BORO", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 2193361.66, "open_interest_contracts": 1788808.46, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Elizabeth Warren", "ticker": "KXPRESNOMD-28-EWAR", "probability": 0.001, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 2059900.34, "open_interest_contracts": 1980937.49, "close_time": "2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00" } ], "history": { "Jon Ossoff": [ [ 1790395200, 0.17 ], [ 1790481600, 0.17 ], [ 1790568000, 0.17 ], [ 1790654400, 0.16 ], [ 1790740800, 0.17 ], [ 1790827200, 0.17 ], [ 1790913600, 0.17 ], [ 1791000000, 0.17 ], [ 1791086400, 0.17 ], [ 1791172800, 0.17 ], [ 1791259200, 0.17 ], [ 1791345600, 0.17 ], [ 1791432000, 0.17 ], [ 1791518400, 0.16 ], [ 1791604800, 0.17 ], [ 1791691200, 0.17 ], [ 1791777600, 0.16 ], [ 1791864000, 0.17 ], [ 1791950400, 0.14 ], [ 1792036800, 0.15 ], [ 1792123200, 0.14 ], [ 1792209600, 0.13 ], [ 1792296000, 0.12 ], [ 1792382400, 0.13 ], [ 1792468800, 0.13 ], [ 1792555200, 0.16 ], [ 1792641600, 0.16 ], [ 1792728000, 0.16 ], [ 1792814400, 0.16 ], [ 1792900800, 0.16 ] ], "Gavin Newsom": [ [ 1790395200, 0.13 ], [ 1790481600, 0.14 ], [ 1790568000, 0.13 ], [ 1790654400, 0.14 ], [ 1790740800, 0.13 ], [ 1790827200, 0.14 ], [ 1790913600, 0.13 ], [ 1791000000, 0.13 ], [ 1791086400, 0.13 ], [ 1791172800, 0.14 ], [ 1791259200, 0.13 ], [ 1791345600, 0.13 ], [ 1791432000, 0.13 ], [ 1791518400, 0.14 ], [ 1791604800, 0.14 ], [ 1791691200, 0.14 ], [ 1791777600, 0.13 ], [ 1791864000, 0.14 ], [ 1791950400, 0.14 ], [ 1792036800, 0.13 ], [ 1792123200, 0.14 ], [ 1792209600, 0.14 ], [ 1792296000, 0.14 ], [ 1792382400, 0.15 ], [ 1792468800, 0.16 ], [ 1792555200, 0.16 ], [ 1792641600, 0.17 ], [ 1792728000, 0.14 ], [ 1792814400, 0.15 ], [ 1792900800, 0.15 ] ], "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez": [ [ 1790395200, 0.16 ], [ 1790481600, 0.16 ], [ 1790568000, 0.14 ], [ 1790654400, 0.14 ], [ 1790740800, 0.14 ], [ 1790827200, 0.14 ], [ 1790913600, 0.14 ], [ 1791000000, 0.14 ], [ 1791086400, 0.14 ], [ 1791172800, 0.14 ], [ 1791259200, 0.14 ], [ 1791345600, 0.14 ], [ 1791432000, 0.14 ], [ 1791518400, 0.14 ], [ 1791604800, 0.13 ], [ 1791691200, 0.13 ], [ 1791777600, 0.14 ], [ 1791864000, 0.13 ], [ 1791950400, 0.13 ], [ 1792036800, 0.14 ], [ 1792123200, 0.14 ], [ 1792209600, 0.14 ], [ 1792296000, 0.14 ], [ 1792382400, 0.14 ], [ 1792468800, 0.14 ], [ 1792555200, 0.13 ], [ 1792641600, 0.13 ], [ 1792728000, 0.14 ], [ 1792814400, 0.14 ], [ 1792900800, 0.14 ] ] }, "license": "CC BY 4.0", "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "attribution": { "required": true, "text": "Odds data: Kalshi View (kalshiview.com)", "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-nominee/", "html": "Odds data: Kalshi View" }, "source": "Kalshi public trade API; Kalshi View is not affiliated with Kalshi. Verify on Kalshi before trading." }