{
 "slug": "ai-capability-growth-this-year",
 "event_ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27",
 "series_ticker": "KXAISPIKE",
 "title": "AI capability growth this year?",
 "category": "Science and Technology",
 "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/ai-capability-growth-this-year/",
 "kalshi_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaispike",
 "updated": "2026-10-25T11:20:07+00:00",
 "closed": false,
 "volume_contracts": 326932.49,
 "volume_24h_contracts": 44.96,
 "open_interest_contracts": 132230.5,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "At least 1540 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27B-1540",
   "probability": 0.53,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 18479.35,
   "open_interest_contracts": 5931.55,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1550 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1550",
   "probability": 0.34,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_contracts": 66061.85,
   "open_interest_contracts": 21241.48,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1600 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1600",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 22722.14,
   "open_interest_contracts": 6901.58,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1650 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1650",
   "probability": 0.025,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 5481.83,
   "open_interest_contracts": 2929.47,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1750 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1750",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 3841.5,
   "open_interest_contracts": 2834.5,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1700 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1700",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 1802.22,
   "open_interest_contracts": 840.22,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "At least 1540 score": [
   [
    1790568000,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790827200,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1790913600,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1791086400,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1791172800,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1791259200,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1791345600,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1791432000,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1791518400,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1791604800,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1791691200,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1791777600,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1791864000,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1791950400,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1792123200,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1792296000,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1792382400,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1792468800,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1792555200,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1792641600,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1792728000,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1792814400,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1792900800,
    0.52
   ]
  ],
  "At least 1550 score": [
   [
    1790395200,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790827200,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790913600,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791086400,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791172800,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791259200,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791345600,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791432000,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1791518400,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791604800,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791777600,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791864000,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791950400,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1792123200,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792209600,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792296000,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792382400,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792468800,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792555200,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792641600,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792728000,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1792814400,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792900800,
    0.26
   ]
  ],
  "At least 1600 score": [
   [
    1790395200,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790913600,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791172800,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791259200,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791345600,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791432000,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791604800,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791691200,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1791777600,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791950400,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1792296000,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1792468800,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1792555200,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792814400,
    0.05
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: Kalshi View (kalshiview.com)",
  "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/ai-capability-growth-this-year/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/markets/ai-capability-growth-this-year/\">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>"
 },
 "source": "Kalshi public trade API; Kalshi View is not affiliated with Kalshi. Verify on Kalshi before trading."
}