{
 "slug": "brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-margin-of-victory",
 "event_ticker": "KXBRPRES2MOVD-BRPRES26LULA",
 "series_ticker": "KXBRPRES2MOVD",
 "title": "Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory",
 "category": "Elections",
 "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-margin-of-victory/",
 "kalshi_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres2movd",
 "updated": "2026-10-25T11:20:07+00:00",
 "closed": false,
 "volume_contracts": 46816.28,
 "volume_24h_contracts": 1656.08,
 "open_interest_contracts": 21423.45,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Lula da Silva, ≥1%",
   "ticker": "KXBRPRES2MOVD-BRPRES26LULA-LSIL-P1",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.05,
   "volume_contracts": 9930.91,
   "open_interest_contracts": 5693.39,
   "close_time": "2027-10-25T14:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "Lula da Silva, ≥3%",
   "ticker": "KXBRPRES2MOVD-BRPRES26LULA-LSIL-P3",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_contracts": 2731.75,
   "open_interest_contracts": 2371.85,
   "close_time": "2027-10-25T14:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "Lula da Silva, ≥7%",
   "ticker": "KXBRPRES2MOVD-BRPRES26LULA-LSIL-P7",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 29333.43,
   "open_interest_contracts": 10098.02,
   "close_time": "2027-10-25T14:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "Lula da Silva, ≥5%",
   "ticker": "KXBRPRES2MOVD-BRPRES26LULA-LSIL-P5",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_contracts": 3686.0,
   "open_interest_contracts": 2200.0,
   "close_time": "2027-10-25T14:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "Lula da Silva, ≥9%",
   "ticker": "KXBRPRES2MOVD-BRPRES26LULA-LSIL-P9",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 1134.19,
   "open_interest_contracts": 1060.19,
   "close_time": "2027-10-25T14:00:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Lula da Silva, ≥1%": [
   [
    1791432000,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791518400,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791604800,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791691200,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791950400,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1792036800,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1792123200,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792382400,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792555200,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1792641600,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792814400,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792900800,
    0.13
   ]
  ],
  "Lula da Silva, ≥3%": [
   [
    1791432000,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791518400,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791691200,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791777600,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1791864000,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792123200,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792555200,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792641600,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1792814400,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792900800,
    0.05
   ]
  ],
  "Lula da Silva, ≥7%": [
   [
    1791345600,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791518400,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1791691200,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1791777600,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1791864000,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1792382400,
    0.01
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: Kalshi View (kalshiview.com)",
  "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-margin-of-victory/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/markets/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-margin-of-victory/\">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>"
 },
 "source": "Kalshi public trade API; Kalshi View is not affiliated with Kalshi. Verify on Kalshi before trading."
}