{ "slug": "what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference", "event_ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT", "series_ticker": "KXFEDMENTION", "title": "What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?", "category": "Mentions", "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/", "kalshi_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedmention", "updated": "2026-10-25T11:20:07+00:00", "closed": false, "volume_contracts": 77832.52, "volume_24h_contracts": 1224.27, "open_interest_contracts": 58670.43, "outcomes": [ { "name": "Central Bank", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-CENT", "probability": 0.94, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 5333.48, "open_interest_contracts": 4035.2, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Good Day", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-GOODD", "probability": 0.94, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3471.02, "open_interest_contracts": 2044.31, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "AI / Artificial Intelligence", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-AI", "probability": 0.82, "change_24h": -0.04, "volume_contracts": 7360.0, "open_interest_contracts": 5807.9, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Restrictive", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-REST", "probability": 0.81, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 6897.13, "open_interest_contracts": 4828.23, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Productivity", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-PROD", "probability": 0.81, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_contracts": 6406.2, "open_interest_contracts": 3866.94, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Uncertainty", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-UNCE", "probability": 0.805, "change_24h": 0.04, "volume_contracts": 4189.81, "open_interest_contracts": 2810.96, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Shock", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-SHOC", "probability": 0.805, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3852.3, "open_interest_contracts": 3146.34, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Independent / Independence", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-INDE", "probability": 0.675, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 128.9, "open_interest_contracts": 42.9, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Balance Sheet", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-BAL", "probability": 0.64, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 941.83, "open_interest_contracts": 745.83, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Inflation Expectation", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-INFL", "probability": 0.625, "change_24h": -0.04, "volume_contracts": 433.88, "open_interest_contracts": 237.41, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Geopolitical", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-GEOP", "probability": 0.58, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 753.33, "open_interest_contracts": 641.33, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Oil", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-OIL", "probability": 0.57, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_contracts": 536.06, "open_interest_contracts": 395.27, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "President", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-PRES", "probability": 0.565, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 593.11, "open_interest_contracts": 456.84, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Credit", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-CRED", "probability": 0.535, "change_24h": 0.02, "volume_contracts": 11929.32, "open_interest_contracts": 8252.5, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Anchor / Anchored", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-ANCH", "probability": 0.5, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 850.0, "open_interest_contracts": 746.0, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Family Fight / Family Feud", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-FAMI", "probability": 0.415, "change_24h": 0.06, "volume_contracts": 484.61, "open_interest_contracts": 380.05, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Dollar", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-DOLL", "probability": 0.41, "change_24h": 0.06, "volume_contracts": 853.28, "open_interest_contracts": 546.3, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Commodity", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-COMM", "probability": 0.405, "change_24h": 0.04, "volume_contracts": 514.16, "open_interest_contracts": 363.84, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Projection", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-PROJ", "probability": 0.365, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 1435.98, "open_interest_contracts": 961.26, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Unchanged", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-UNCH", "probability": 0.305, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 1570.59, "open_interest_contracts": 1147.23, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Pandemic", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-PAND", "probability": 0.3, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 194.19, "open_interest_contracts": 165.32, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-GAS", "probability": 0.205, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 1136.62, "open_interest_contracts": 918.7, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Softening", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-SOFT", "probability": 0.18, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 695.05, "open_interest_contracts": 450.2, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Iran", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-IRAN", "probability": 0.13, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 762.18, "open_interest_contracts": 406.37, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Probability", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-PROB", "probability": 0.12, "change_24h": -0.04, "volume_contracts": 299.54, "open_interest_contracts": 299.54, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Risk Management", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-RISK", "probability": 0.12, "change_24h": -0.07, "volume_contracts": 224.23, "open_interest_contracts": 224.23, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Good Afternoon", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-GOOD", "probability": 0.085, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 998.92, "open_interest_contracts": 712.72, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Volatility", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-VOLA", "probability": 0.085, "change_24h": 0.05, "volume_contracts": 291.56, "open_interest_contracts": 160.72, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Recession", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-RECE", "probability": 0.085, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 261.4, "open_interest_contracts": 237.7, "close_time": "2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Dissent", "ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26OCT-DISS", "probability": 0.08, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 462.32, "open_interest_contracts": 462.32, "close_time": 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Verify on Kalshi before trading." }