{ "slug": "who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026", "event_ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01", "series_ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE", "title": "Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?", "category": "Politics", "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026/", "kalshi_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfederalcharge", "updated": "2026-10-25T11:20:07+00:00", "closed": false, "volume_contracts": 2078265.34, "volume_24h_contracts": 28557.24, "open_interest_contracts": 841424.5, "outcomes": [ { "name": "Ilhan Omar", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-IOMA", "probability": 0.445, "change_24h": -0.04, "volume_contracts": 341039.11, "open_interest_contracts": 159434.18, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Corey Lewandowski", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CLEW", "probability": 0.42, "change_24h": -0.15, "volume_contracts": 194.66, "open_interest_contracts": 172.07, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Cassidy Hutchinson", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CHUT", "probability": 0.285, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_contracts": 12916.65, "open_interest_contracts": 7624.85, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Larry Krasner", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LKRA", "probability": 0.23, "change_24h": null, "volume_contracts": 65.06, "open_interest_contracts": 65.05, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "John Brennan", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JBRE", "probability": 0.215, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 72458.99, "open_interest_contracts": 30056.58, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Dan J. Sullivan", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-DJSUL", "probability": 0.165, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 6556.03, "open_interest_contracts": 5871.76, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Anthony Fauci", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-AFAU", "probability": 0.145, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_contracts": 519753.28, "open_interest_contracts": 194106.8, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Fani Willis", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-FWIL", "probability": 0.135, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 10549.69, "open_interest_contracts": 5072.61, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Jack Smith", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JSMI", "probability": 0.105, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_contracts": 75638.27, "open_interest_contracts": 27069.39, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Gustavo Petro", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-GPET", "probability": 0.105, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 12129.94, "open_interest_contracts": 4894.23, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Lisa Cook", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LCOO", "probability": 0.0975, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 32943.89, "open_interest_contracts": 17433.92, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "James Clapper", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JCLA", "probability": 0.0955, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 20212.12, "open_interest_contracts": 5183.46, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Gavin Newsom", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-GNEW", "probability": 0.095, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 15924.44, "open_interest_contracts": 8944.29, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Andrew Weissmann", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-AWEI", "probability": 0.095, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 3554.48, "open_interest_contracts": 2107.61, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Hunter Biden", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HBID", "probability": 0.0945, "change_24h": -0.001, "volume_contracts": 19860.74, "open_interest_contracts": 12679.87, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Peter Strzok", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-PSTR", "probability": 0.0945, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 12096.14, "open_interest_contracts": 7366.26, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Keith Ellison", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-KELL", "probability": 0.0935, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 21537.27, "open_interest_contracts": 8546.52, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Jennifer Siebel Newsom", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JNEW", "probability": 0.085, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 12360.37, "open_interest_contracts": 6125.55, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Tim Walz", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-TWAL", "probability": 0.0825, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_contracts": 278855.87, "open_interest_contracts": 72630.78, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Adam Schiff", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ASCH", "probability": 0.0815, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 47338.83, "open_interest_contracts": 20217.06, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Chris Krebs", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CKRE", "probability": 0.0815, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 7411.0, "open_interest_contracts": 3112.87, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Alvin Bragg", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ABRA", "probability": 0.0695, "change_24h": 0.006, "volume_contracts": 24721.68, "open_interest_contracts": 11101.04, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "E. Jean Carroll", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ECAR", "probability": 0.065, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 16917.36, "open_interest_contracts": 7789.61, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Kimberly Guilfoyle", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-KGUI", "probability": 0.065, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 7704.93, "open_interest_contracts": 4997.17, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Miles Taylor", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-MTAY", "probability": 0.065, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 2082.45, "open_interest_contracts": 830.33, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Lisa Monaco", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LMON", "probability": 0.065, "change_24h": 0.0, "volume_contracts": 1815.2, "open_interest_contracts": 1293.77, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "name": "Letitia James", "ticker": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LJAM", "probability": 0.0625, "change_24h": -0.038, 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27464.64, "open_interest_contracts": 10613.68, "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" } ], "history": { "Ilhan Omar": [ [ 1790395200, 0.14 ], [ 1790481600, 0.1 ], [ 1790740800, 0.13 ], [ 1790827200, 0.12 ], [ 1790913600, 0.14 ], [ 1791000000, 0.12 ], [ 1791086400, 0.1 ], [ 1791172800, 0.11 ], [ 1791259200, 0.1 ], [ 1791345600, 0.11 ], [ 1791432000, 0.092 ], [ 1791518400, 0.17 ], [ 1791604800, 0.14 ], [ 1791691200, 0.16 ], [ 1791777600, 0.24 ], [ 1791864000, 0.41 ], [ 1791950400, 0.39 ], [ 1792036800, 0.35 ], [ 1792123200, 0.46 ], [ 1792209600, 0.36 ], [ 1792296000, 0.36 ], [ 1792382400, 0.38 ], [ 1792468800, 0.38 ], [ 1792555200, 0.42 ], [ 1792641600, 0.47 ], [ 1792728000, 0.47 ], [ 1792814400, 0.45 ], [ 1792900800, 0.45 ] ], "Corey Lewandowski": [ [ 1792814400, 0.57 ], [ 1792900800, 0.42 ] ], "Cassidy Hutchinson": [ [ 1791086400, 0.09 ], [ 1791518400, 0.33 ], [ 1791604800, 0.39 ], [ 1791691200, 0.43 ], [ 1791777600, 0.4 ], [ 1791864000, 0.37 ], [ 1791950400, 0.33 ], [ 1792036800, 0.33 ], [ 1792123200, 0.33 ], [ 1792209600, 0.28 ], [ 1792296000, 0.29 ], [ 1792382400, 0.28 ], [ 1792468800, 0.29 ], [ 1792555200, 0.31 ], [ 1792641600, 0.31 ], [ 1792728000, 0.31 ], [ 1792814400, 0.28 ], [ 1792900800, 0.3 ] ] }, "license": "CC BY 4.0", "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "attribution": { "required": true, "text": "Odds data: Kalshi View (kalshiview.com)", "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026/", "html": "Odds data: Kalshi View" }, "source": "Kalshi public trade API; Kalshi View is not affiliated with Kalshi. Verify on Kalshi before trading." }