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Kalshi APY calculator

Fees from Kalshi's fee schedule effective July 7, 2026 · live favorites checked October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC

Buying a contract at 90 cents that pays $1 returns 11.1% if it wins, before fees; with the Kalshi taker fee (0.63 cents a contract at 90 cents) it is 10.3%. Held for 60 days that is 63% a year simple, or 82% compounded. The price is also the market's view of the risk: a 90-cent contract loses everything roughly one time in ten.

Your position

If it wins

Profit: -

Return to resolution: -

Annualized, simple: -

Annualized, compounded (APY): -

Break-even chance: -

If it loses, you lose the whole cost. The price already tells you how likely that is.

Favorites on Kalshi today: return if they win

EventOutcomePriceDays leftReturn after feePer year (simple)
Which party will win the U.S. House?Democratic Party91¢999.2%34%
California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra96¢3743.9%4%
New York Governor winner?Kathy Hochul95¢3744.9%5%
Massachusetts Governor winner?Maura Healey95¢3744.9%5%
MN-05 House winner?Ilhan Omar94¢3745.9%6%
New York Attorney General winner?Letitia James92¢3748.1%8%
Arizona Governor winner?Katie Hobbs90¢37410.3%10%
New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026Above 3.900099¢670.9%5%
Georgia Senate winner?Jon Ossoff96¢3743.9%4%
College Football Playoff QualifiersMiami (FL)92¢658.1%45%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 202792¢1588.1%19%
Number of rate cuts in 2026?Exactly 0 cuts94¢685.9%32%
Texas crude oil production in 2026Above 5.6 million barrels/day98¢1571.9%4%
Aaron Rodgers's Next TeamPittsburgh94¢375.9%59%
North Carolina Senate winner?Roy Cooper96¢3743.9%4%
Florida Senate winner?Ashley Moody90¢37410.3%10%
Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?Justin Gaethje88¢6712.7%69%
Will the S&P finish positive this year?Yes90¢6810.3%56%
California Governor winner?Xavier Becerra97¢3742.9%3%
Mississippi Senate winner?Cindy Hyde-Smith88¢37412.7%12%
NC-11 House winner?Jamie Ager86¢37415.1%15%
New Hampshire Senate winner?Chris Pappas90¢37410.3%10%
F1 Drivers ChampionAndrea Kimi Antonelli98¢581.9%12%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percentAt least 48%98¢3651.9%2%
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026Above $200,00098¢1571.9%4%

Contracts priced 85 to 99 cents that close in 30 to 400 days, among the events with a Kalshi View page, by 24-hour volume; mid prices, taker fee included, checked October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC. Buying at the ask costs a little more.

Related

Fees per order: Kalshi fee calculator. Position risk and expected value: payout calculator. Bids, offers and spread: how to read the Kalshi order book. All live prices: Kalshi odds today.

Frequently asked questions

How do you calculate the APY of a Kalshi contract?

Buying a contract at 90 cents that pays $1 returns 11.1% if it wins, before fees; with the Kalshi taker fee (0.63 cents a contract at 90 cents) it is 10.3%. Held for 60 days that is 63% a year simple, or 82% compounded. The price is also the market's view of the risk: a 90-cent contract loses everything roughly one time in ten.

Is a 95-cent contract a safe 5% return?

No. The price says the market sees about a 5% chance that the contract pays nothing, and then you lose the whole 95 cents. The annualised figure only describes the return if it wins.

Do fees change the return?

Yes. The taker fee is largest in cents near 50 cents but matters most for expensive contracts, where the profit per contract is small: at 95 cents the fee takes about a tenth of the 5-cent profit.