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Oscar Winner: Best Picture: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARPIC-27

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 44%, followed by You Can See Everything at 29%, The Black Ball at 14%. 10.2M contracts have traded, 134.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
The Odyssey44%
-2 pts2.1M956.8K
You Can See Everything29%
-4 pts1.2M769.2K
The Black Ball14%
·674.9K397.4K
Dune: Part Three6.5%
-1 pts661.5K463.0K
Digger1.5%
+1 pts947.5K596.2K
Wild Horse Nine1.5%
·489.5K348.3K
Artificial1.5%
+1 pts373.8K300.7K
Project Hail Mary1.0%
·409.7K319.1K
Avengers: Doomsday1.0%
·375.4K368.5K
The Debut1.0%
·371.3K269.0K
Obsession1.0%
·365.0K356.2K
The Social Reckoning1.0%
·328.4K295.3K
Fjord1.0%
·237.9K220.1K
Josephine1.0%
·216.8K209.8K
Michael1.0%
·201.9K174.8K
Behemoth1.0%
·177.1K167.9K
Elsinore1.0%
·158.6K139.1K
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth1.0%
·154.6K149.6K
Paper Tiger1.0%
·106.1K104.8K
Disclosure Day1.0%
·97.1K79.0K

21 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Oct 25

■ The Odyssey ■ You Can See Everything ■ The Black Ball · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar Winner: Best Picture?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 44%, followed by You Can See Everything at 29%, The Black Ball at 14%. 10.2M contracts have traded, 134.4K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar Winner: Best Picture market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

Oscar Winner: Best Picture: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-picture/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarwinnerbestpicture, title = {Oscar Winner: Best Picture: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-picture/}}

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