Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNFLDRAFTPICK-27-1
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Drew Mestemaker at 34%, followed by Jeremiah Smith at 31%, CJ Carr at 11%. 553.1K contracts have traded, 9.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | 34% | · | 44.9K | 32.4K |
| Jeremiah Smith | 31% | -4 pts | 75.9K | 48.5K |
| CJ Carr | 11% | · | 39.3K | 28.3K |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 9.0% | -3 pts | 44.0K | 32.0K |
| Arch Manning | 7.5% | · | 145.5K | 87.4K |
| Darian Mensah | 6.0% | · | 37.4K | 25.9K |
| LaNorris Sellers | 3.5% | +5 pts | 21.7K | 19.7K |
| Julian Sayin | 2.0% | +1 pts | 24.5K | 17.5K |
| Lincoln Kienholz | 2.0% | · | 702 | 702 |
| Dante Moore | 1.5% | +1 pts | 41.8K | 24.8K |
| Jayden Maiava | 1.5% | · | 13.3K | 9.6K |
| Dylan Stewart | 1.0% | · | 12.2K | 8.7K |
| Sam Leavitt | 1.0% | · | 11.3K | 8.3K |
| John Mateer | 1.0% | · | 10.1K | 6.3K |
| Nico Iamaleava | 1.0% | · | 7.6K | 6.9K |
| Austin Simmons | 1.0% | · | 6.7K | 6.5K |
| Cam Coleman | 1.0% | · | 3.3K | 3.1K |
| Ryan Williams | 1.0% | · | 2.9K | 1.7K |
| DJ Lagway | 1.0% | · | 2.9K | 2.8K |
| Jordan Seaton | 1.0% | · | 2.8K | 2.3K |
2 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Drew Mestemaker ■ Jeremiah Smith ■ CJ Carr · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Arch Manning is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: NFL odds on Kalshi
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Drew Mestemaker at 34%, followed by Jeremiah Smith at 31%, CJ Carr at 11%. 553.1K contracts have traded, 9.2K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is May 22, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-football-1-overall-pick-in-2027/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsprofootball1overallpickin2027, title = {Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-football-1-overall-pick-in-2027/}}HTML credit
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