2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXPRESPERSON-28
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is J.D. Vance at 20%, followed by Gavin Newsom at 12%, Marco Rubio at 11%. 76.9M contracts have traded, 189.3K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ J.D. Vance ■ Gavin Newsom ■ Marco Rubio · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Gavin Newsom is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is J.D. Vance at 20%, followed by Gavin Newsom at 12%, Marco Rubio at 11%. 76.9M contracts have traded, 189.3K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner market close?
The listed close date is November 7, 2029. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-u-s-presidential-election-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026markets2028uspresidentialelectionwinner, title = {2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-u-s-presidential-election-winner/}}
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