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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes): Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXDSENATESEATSH-27

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Below 53 at 62%, followed by 53 at 12%, 54 at 12%. 827.6K contracts have traded, 9.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Below 5362%
·149.3K64.3K
5312%
-1 pts99.6K75.3K
5412%
·85.8K82.7K
558.3%
·124.6K120.3K
564.3%
·113.0K101.4K
Above 574.0%
·134.4K122.5K
571.6%
·121.0K117.9K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Oct 25

■ Below 53 ■ 53 ■ 54 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Elections markets

More on this topic: Senate odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Below 53 at 62%, followed by 53 at 12%, 54 at 12%. 827.6K contracts have traded, 9.4K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) market close?

The listed close date is February 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes): Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms-higher-strikes/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowmanysenateseatswilldemocratsholdafterthemidtermshigherstrikes, title = {How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms-higher-strikes/}}

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