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Senate odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · 362 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on US Senate control, seat counts and Senate races.

Every 2026 race on one page, closest first: 2026 midterms on Kalshi.

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 362 open Senate events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Texas Senate winner? (James Talarico 64%), Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (Democratic Party 62%), Alaska Senate winner? (Democratic party 75%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Texas Senate winner?James Talarico 64%2.1MNovember 3, 2027
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?Democratic Party 62%662.2KFebruary 1, 2027
Alaska Senate winner?Democratic party 75%268.4KNovember 3, 2027
Minnesota Senate winner?Peggy Flanagan 82%194.0KNovember 3, 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 38%171.3KFebruary 1, 2027
Michigan Senate winner?Abdul El-Sayed 68%157.7KNovember 3, 2027
Ohio Senate winner?Sherrod Brown 68%154.2KNovember 3, 2027
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 20%135.5KFebruary 1, 2027
Maine Senate winner?Troy Jackson 60%129.5KNovember 3, 2027
South Carolina Senate winner?Darline Graham 80%93.5KNovember 3, 2027
Texas Senate margin of victoryKen Paxton, 1+ pts 32%79.3KNovember 3, 2027
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 46%77.6KNovember 3, 2027
Georgia Senate winner?Jon Ossoff 96%73.7KNovember 3, 2027
Iowa Senate winner?Ashley Hinson 58%66.2KNovember 3, 2027
Nebraska Senate winner?Pete Ricketts 76%50.8KNovember 3, 2027
North Carolina Senate winner?Roy Cooper 96%48.8KNovember 3, 2027
Texas Senate margin of victoryJames Talarico, 1+ pts 62%48.0KNovember 3, 2027
Florida Senate winner?Ashley Moody 90%47.4KNovember 3, 2027
Kansas Senate winner?Roger Marshall 60%47.2KNovember 3, 2027
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 68%45.5KNovember 3, 2027
Georgia Senate margin of victoryOssoff, 2+ pts 92%43.6KNovember 3, 2027
Mississippi Senate winner?Cindy Hyde-Smith 88%34.2KNovember 3, 2027
New Hampshire Senate winner?Chris Pappas 90%29.5KNovember 3, 2027
Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?Democratic sweep 49%29.4KNovember 3, 2027
Texas Governor-Senate comboGreg Abbott and James Talarico win 37%20.7KNovember 3, 2027
North Carolina Senate: margin of victoryRoy Cooper, 12-14% 20%19.3KNovember 3, 2027
Closest Senate race in 2026?Iowa 16%19.0KJanuary 3, 2027
Michigan Senate: margin of victoryAbdul El-Sayed, 0-2% 20%19.0KNovember 3, 2027
Iowa Senate: margin of victoryJosh Turek, 0-2% 20%16.1KNovember 3, 2027
Texas Senate: margin of victoryJames Talarico, 4-6% 18%14.1KNovember 3, 2027
Kansas Senate: margin of victoryRoger Marshall, 0-2% 16%13.3KNovember 3, 2027
South Carolina Senate: margin of victoryDarline Graham, 4-6% 14%12.3KNovember 3, 2027
Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?Ashley Hinson 58%12.0KDecember 7, 2026
Michigan Senate margin of victoryEl-Sayed, 1+ pts 68%11.1KNovember 3, 2027
North Carolina Senate margin of victoryCooper, 1+ pts 96%10.2KNovember 3, 2027
Ohio Senate margin of victoryBrown, 1+ pts 64%9.5KNovember 3, 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)Below 53 62%9.4KFebruary 1, 2027
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?Yes 56%9.4KNovember 3, 2027
Montana Senate winner?Kurt Alme 91%7.8KNovember 3, 2027
Idaho Senate winner?Jim Risch 95%7.8KNovember 3, 2027
Ohio Governor-Senate comboAmy Acton and Sherrod Brown win 66%7.8KNovember 3, 2027
Arkansas Senate winner?Tom Cotton 94%7.4KNovember 3, 2027
New Mexico Senate winner?Ben Ray Luján 97%6.2KNovember 3, 2027
Minnesota Senate margin of victoryFlanagan, 1+ pts 83%6.0KNovember 3, 2027
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)Mary Peltola 74%5.8KNovember 3, 2027
Maine Senate winner? (Person)Troy Jackson 62%5.1KJuly 7, 2027
Florida Senate margin of victoryMoody, 1+ pts 94%4.8KNovember 3, 2027
New Hampshire State Senate winner?Democratic party 42%4.8KDecember 16, 2026
Louisiana Senate winner?Julia Letlow 92%4.6KNovember 3, 2027
New Hampshire Senate margin of victoryPappas, 2+ pts 88%4.4KNovember 3, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

Senate odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/senate/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicsenate, title = {Senate odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/senate/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/senate/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi Senate odds today?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 362 open Senate events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Texas Senate winner? (James Talarico 64%), Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (Democratic Party 62%), Alaska Senate winner? (Democratic party 75%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.

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