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Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXBOND-30

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Jack Lowden at 59%, followed by Callum Turner at 37%, Josh O'Connor at 16%. 2.7M contracts have traded, 26.3K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Jack Lowden59%
-10 pts230.9K109.5K
Callum Turner37%
+2 pts618.3K324.4K
Josh O'Connor16%
+2 pts148.1K57.6K
Harris Dickinson13%
+10 pts122.6K55.4K
Jack Barton9.5%
-1 pts55.9K38.0K
Jacob Elordi7.5%
+3 pts339.3K126.5K
Robert Pattinson7.0%
+3 pts18.7K14.6K
Jonathan Bailey5.5%
+3 pts25.9K12.0K
Paul Mescal5.5%
+5 pts14.5K9.6K
James Norton5.5%
+7 pts43.2K19.2K
Aaron Pierre5.0%
+4 pts43.1K18.1K
Richard Madden4.5%
-3 pts33.0K21.9K
Henry Cavill4.5%
+5 pts121.8K50.1K
Jack O'Connell4.0%
+2 pts38.5K27.7K
Nicholas Hoult4.0%
·30.7K17.0K
Regé-Jean Page4.0%
-2 pts28.3K13.2K
Theo James3.5%
+2 pts96.0K48.5K
Idris Elba3.5%
-4 pts78.7K32.6K
Tom Francis3.0%
-5 pts53.6K25.9K
Charlie Hunnam3.0%
·21.8K9.2K

10 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Oct 25

■ Jack Lowden ■ Callum Turner ■ Josh O'Connor · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Box office odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Jack Lowden at 59%, followed by Callum Turner at 37%, Josh O'Connor at 16%. 2.7M contracts have traded, 26.3K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond market close?

The listed close date is January 1, 2030. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

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Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-james-bond-film-actor-cast-as-james-bond/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsnextjamesbondfilmactorcastasjamesbond, title = {Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-james-bond-film-actor-cast-as-james-bond/}}

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