Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXRATEHIKE-2026
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Exactly 2 at 72%, followed by Exactly 1 at 22%, Exactly 3 at 6.0%. 314.7K contracts have traded, 3.5K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Exactly 2 ■ Exactly 1 ■ Exactly 3 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note the following definition of a "rate hike": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Number of rate hikes in 2026?
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Exactly 2 at 72%, followed by Exactly 1 at 22%, Exactly 3 at 6.0%. 314.7K contracts have traded, 3.5K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Number of rate hikes in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Number of rate hikes in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsnumberofratehikesin2026, title = {Number of rate hikes in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
