What are the Kalshi Fed rate odds today?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 64 open Fed rate events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Fed decision in Oct 2026? (Fed maintains rate 94%), Number of rate cuts in 2026? (Exactly 0 cuts 94%), Fed decision in Dec 2026? (Hike 25bps 74%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.

Fed Rate Odds on Kalshi Today: Will the Fed Cut or Hike? (64 Markets)

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · 64 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on Federal Reserve rate decisions, the fed funds rate at year end and Fed leadership.

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Fed decision in Oct 2026?	Fed maintains rate 94%	433.8K	October 28, 2026
Number of rate cuts in 2026?	Exactly 0 cuts 94%	52.8K	January 1, 2027
Fed decision in Dec 2026?	Hike 25bps 74%	7.8K	December 9, 2026
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?	Above 3.75% 100%	4.1K	October 28, 2026
Number of rate hikes in 2026?	Exactly 2 72%	3.5K	January 3, 2027
Next Fed rate hike?	Before 2029 98%	3.3K	January 1, 2029
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?	Beth Hammack 74%	2.5K	October 28, 2026
Fed funds rate at end of 2027	Above 1.75% 100%	2.3K	January 1, 2028
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?	2 28%	1.1K	October 28, 2026
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?	Exactly 0ㅤ 93%	572	January 1, 2027
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?	Yes 4.5%	391	January 1, 2027
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?	Yes 1.9%	302	January 1, 2027
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027	Exactly 2 70%	287	January 1, 2027
Fed decision in Oct 2027?	Fed maintains rate 85%	207	October 27, 2027
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?	Above 2.75% 100%	190	December 9, 2026
October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents	Rate: No change, Dissents: >0 78%	179	October 28, 2026
Fed rate cut before 2027?	Yes 4.6%	179	January 1, 2027
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?	0 cuts 97%	152	January 1, 2027
Fed median dot plot in December 2026	Above 3.5% 98%	125	December 9, 2026
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?	Stephen Miran 9.6%	105	January 1, 2027
Fed decision in Jun 2027?	Fed maintains rate 62%	100	June 9, 2027
Fed decision in Jan 2027?	Fed maintains rate 64%	97	January 27, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2036	Above 2.25% 90%	82	January 1, 2037
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026	Above 3.50% 100%	71	January 4, 2027
Fed decision in Mar 2027?	Hike 25bps 62%	44	March 17, 2027
Fed decision in Apr 2027?	Fed maintains rate 52%	40	April 28, 2027
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?	7 or more cuts 60%	32	January 1, 2027
Next Fed rate cut?	Before 2029 84%	31	January 1, 2029
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in October	Above -0.62 99%	28	October 28, 2026
Fed decision in Jul 2027?	Fed maintains rate 74%	13	July 28, 2027
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?	Before Jan 31, 2028 70%	10	January 31, 2028
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?	Above 0.50% 98%	2	April 28, 2027
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?	Yes 3.5%	0	January 1, 2027
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?	Yes 4.8%	0	January 20, 2029
Fed decision in Dec 2027?	Fed maintains rate 62%	0	December 8, 2027
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?	Above 0.00% 99%	0	December 8, 2027
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?	Above 0.00% 98%	0	January 27, 2027
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?	Above 2.00% 99%	0	March 17, 2027
Fed decision in Sep 2027?	Fed maintains rate 85%	0	September 15, 2027
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?	Trimmed Mean Emphasized 15%	0	January 1, 2027
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting?	Above 0.50% 99%	0	June 9, 2027
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?	Above 0.25% 99%	0	October 27, 2027
Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026	Above $6.2 trillion 99%	0	December 31, 2026
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?	Yes 1.7%	0	January 1, 2027
Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting?	Above 0.00% 99%	0	September 15, 2027
Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?	Yes 4.5%	0	January 1, 2027
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?	Before Jan 1, 2031 78%	0	January 1, 2031
Fed decision in Jan 2028?	Fed maintains rate 59%	0	January 26, 2028
Fed funds rate at end of 2031	Above 1.00% 85%	0	January 1, 2032
Fed funds rate at end of 2033	Above 1.75% 84%	0	January 1, 2034

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Fed rate odds on Kalshi today

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