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Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMACTO-27

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Matt Damon at 92%, followed by John Malkovich at 90%, Andrew Scott at 84%. 511.5K contracts have traded, 6.9K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Matt Damon92%
-3 pts35.3K15.2K
John Malkovich90%
·18.1K9.4K
Andrew Scott84%
-1 pts29.0K13.7K
Tom Cruise54%
-12 pts72.2K30.5K
Anthony Ippolito50%
+18 pts14.4K9.0K
Ryan Gosling46%
+1 pts59.2K28.6K
Robert Pattinson46%
-2 pts47.3K20.6K
John Turturro45%
·12.8K6.4K
Yura Borisov22%
·3.7K2.8K
Sebastian Stan16%
·18.0K9.5K
Pedro Pascal15%
·41.9K11.6K
Jaafar Jackson15%
-2 pts37.5K23.4K
Timothée Chalamet14%
-1 pts27.0K13.5K
Guy Pearce10%
·176176
Mahershala Ali8.5%
-1 pts4.1K3.1K
Robert Aramayo7.5%
·4.3K2.4K
Tom Holland6.0%
·2.1K1.1K
Andrew Garfield5.5%
·31.0K13.2K
Sam Rockwell5.0%
·2.7K1.6K
Dominic Sessa4.5%
·3.3K2.8K

14 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Oct 25

■ Matt Damon ■ John Malkovich ■ Andrew Scott · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If John Malkovich has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar nominees: Best Actor?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Matt Damon at 92%, followed by John Malkovich at 90%, Andrew Scott at 84%. 511.5K contracts have traded, 6.9K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar nominees: Best Actor market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actor/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarnomineesbestactor, title = {Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actor/}}

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