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Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMACTR-27

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 92%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 78%, Sandra Hüller at 74%. 326.0K contracts have traded, 1.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Julianne Moore92%
-2 pts19.9K8.5K
Inde Navarrette78%
-4 pts136.9K64.3K
Sandra Hüller74%
-6 pts15.2K5.0K
Olivia Wilde70%
+1 pts29.4K12.0K
Renate Reinsve48%
+4 pts27.3K8.6K
Virginie Efira42%
+5 pts5.4K3.5K
Ruth Madeley41%
·5.4K2.6K
Zendaya26%
+4 pts6.6K4.3K
Rosalind Eleazar15%
·6.1K1.6K
Emily Blunt12%
+1 pts15.9K6.4K
Daisy Edgar-Jones9.0%
·3.3K1.9K
Anne Hathaway7.5%
-7 pts14.8K7.5K
Joan Collins7.5%
·660605
Sophie Okonedo7.0%
·757747
Laura Linney6.0%
·1.5K504
Mikey Madison5.5%
·10.0K4.7K
Penélope Cruz5.5%
·3.7K1.8K
Dakota Johnson5.0%
·865591
Michelle Williams4.0%
·9.2K3.8K
Scarlett Johansson4.0%
·3.6K2.1K

6 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Oct 25

■ Julianne Moore ■ Inde Navarrette ■ Sandra Hüller · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Renate Reinsve has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar nominees: Best Actress?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 92%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 78%, Sandra Hüller at 74%. 326.0K contracts have traded, 1.4K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar nominees: Best Actress market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarnomineesbestactress, title = {Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress/}}

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