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What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXFEDMENTION-26OCT

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Central Bank at 94%, followed by Good Day at 94%, AI / Artificial Intelligence at 82%. 77.8K contracts have traded, 1.2K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Central Bank94%
·5.3K4.0K
Good Day94%
·3.5K2.0K
AI / Artificial Intelligence82%
-4 pts7.4K5.8K
Restrictive81%
·6.9K4.8K
Productivity81%
+1 pts6.4K3.9K
Uncertainty80%
+4 pts4.2K2.8K
Shock80%
·3.9K3.1K
Independent / Independence68%
·12943
Balance Sheet64%
·942746
Inflation Expectation62%
-4 pts434237
Geopolitical58%
·753641
Oil57%
+1 pts536395
President56%
·593457
Credit54%
+2 pts11.9K8.3K
Anchor / Anchored50%
·850746
Family Fight / Family Feud42%
+6 pts485380
Dollar41%
+6 pts853546
Commodity40%
+4 pts514364
Projection36%
·1.4K961
Unchanged31%
·1.6K1.1K

27 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Oct 25

■ Central Bank ■ Good Day ■ AI / Artificial Intelligence · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Central Bank at 94%, followed by Good Day at 94%, AI / Artificial Intelligence at 82%. 77.8K contracts have traded, 1.2K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference market close?

The listed close date is October 29, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillkevinwarshsayduringhisoctoberpressconference, title = {What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/}}

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