Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXEBOLACOUNTRY-27
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Central African Republic at 57%, followed by Thailand at 46%, Italy at 46%. 471.8K contracts have traded, 11.2K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Central African Republic · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United States is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in United States — a citizen of United States diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within United States do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Central African Republic at 57%, followed by Thailand at 46%, Italy at 46%. 471.8K contracts have traded, 11.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/which-countries-will-report-an-ebola-case-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhichcountrieswillreportanebolacasein2026, title = {Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/which-countries-will-report-an-ebola-case-in-2026/}}
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