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Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXISRFORMIN-26OCT27

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Yair Lapid at 24%, followed by Gideon Sa'ar at 12%, Naftali Bennett at 7.5%. 36.9K contracts have traded, 5 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Yair Lapid24%
·234141
Gideon Sa'ar12%
·55
Naftali Bennett7.5%
·19782
Avigdor Lieberman6.0%
·00
Benjamin Netanyahu5.0%
·6.4K3.1K
Ron Dermer5.0%
·2.0K1.0K
Gadi Eisenkot4.0%
·2.2K1.0K
Einat Wilf2.0%
·5.8K3.0K
Yair Golan2.0%
·4.8K3.0K
Yoram Cohen2.0%
·3.1K3.0K
Benny Gantz1.0%
·5.1K3.0K
Chili Tropper1.0%
·3.6K3.0K
Yossi Cohen1.0%
·3.4K3.0K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11Oct 22

■ Yair Lapid ■ Naftali Bennett · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Amir Ohana formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affairs in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.”

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Related Elections markets

More on this topic: Israel odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Yair Lapid at 24%, followed by Gideon Sa'ar at 12%, Naftali Bennett at 7.5%. 36.9K contracts have traded, 5 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election market close?

The listed close date is October 27, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillbeisraeliforeignministeraftertheelection, title = {Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/}}

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