Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXISRINTMIN-26OCT27
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Michael Malchieli at 12%, followed by Yoav Ben-Tzur at 9.5%, Yair Golan at 5.0%. 46.1K contracts have traded, 28 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Michael Malchieli ■ Yoav Ben-Tzur ■ Yair Golan · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Amir Ohana formally takes office as Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of the Interior in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Michael Malchieli at 12%, followed by Yoav Ben-Tzur at 9.5%, Yair Golan at 5.0%. 46.1K contracts have traded, 28 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election market close?
The listed close date is October 27, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/">Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/badge.svg" alt="Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/)
Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillbeisraeliinteriorministeraftertheelection, title = {Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
