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Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KX2028DRUN-28

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 91%, followed by Andy Beshear at 86%, Rahm Emanuel at 84%. 1.0M contracts have traded, 2.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Pete Buttigieg91%
+1 pts11.7K5.5K
Andy Beshear86%
·7.7K4.2K
Rahm Emanuel84%
·32.1K18.6K
J.B. Pritzker81%
·16.8K7.7K
Ro Khanna80%
·38.8K16.7K
Gavin Newsom78%
-1 pts69.5K32.0K
Josh Shapiro77%
·12.1K3.0K
Wes Moore76%
-2 pts63.6K21.0K
Cory Booker74%
+4 pts19.4K15.5K
Mark Kelly70%
-13 pts27.6K14.8K
Chris Murphy66%
·2.4K1.7K
Kamala Harris65%
·158.6K65.3K
Mitch Landrieu64%
·1.7K1.4K
Chris Van Hollen63%
·9.3K8.1K
Elissa Slotkin60%
·26.7K11.7K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez60%
-3 pts160.9K68.5K
Jon Ossoff60%
+3 pts41.9K24.1K
Raphael Warnock55%
·10.9K5.1K
Ruben Gallego46%
·40.0K8.4K
Jared Polis38%
·9.9K6.6K

18 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Oct 25

■ Pete Buttigieg ■ Andy Beshear ■ Rahm Emanuel · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Elections markets

More on this topic: 2028 election odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 91%, followed by Andy Beshear at 86%, Rahm Emanuel at 84%. 1.0M contracts have traded, 2.4K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 market close?

The listed close date is January 1, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillrunforthedemocraticpresidentialnominationin2028, title = {Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/}}

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