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Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXPAMFGEMP-27APR30

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 545,000 jobs at 96%, followed by Above 550,000 jobs at 94%, Above 555,000 jobs at 72%. 182.4K contracts have traded, 0 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Above 545,000 jobs96%
·26.1K1.3K
Above 550,000 jobs94%
·34.9K3.7K
Above 555,000 jobs72%
·71.3K20.7K
Above 560,000 jobs7.5%
·33.5K6.0K
Above 565,000 jobs5.5%
·14.2K1.6K
Above 570,000 jobs4.5%
·2.3K251

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28Oct 24

■ Above 545,000 jobs ■ Above 550,000 jobs ■ Above 555,000 jobs · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 545,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry. Employment is measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published annual-average value will be used rather than independently averaging monthly estimates.”

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More on this topic: Jobs and unemployment odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 545,000 jobs at 96%, followed by Above 550,000 jobs at 94%, Above 555,000 jobs at 72%. 182.4K contracts have traded, 0 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026 market close?

The listed close date is April 30, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/pennsylvania-annual-average-manufacturing-employment-in-2026/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketspennsylvaniaannualaveragemanufacturingemploymentin2026, title = {Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/pennsylvania-annual-average-manufacturing-employment-in-2026/}}

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