Jobs and Unemployment Odds on Kalshi Today: What Will the Jobs Report Show? (47 Markets)

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · 47 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 47 open Jobs and unemployment events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Mexico unemployment rate in October (Above 2.7% 56%), Russia unemployment rate in September (Above 1.9% 74%), China unemployment rate in October (Above 4.6% 98%).

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Mexico unemployment rate in October	Above 2.7% 56%	2.8K	November 26, 2026
Russia unemployment rate in September	Above 1.9% 74%	1.4K	October 28, 2026
China unemployment rate in October	Above 4.6% 98%	1.3K	November 16, 2026
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026	Above 80,000 jobs 98%	867	April 30, 2027
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP	U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k 22%	306	November 6, 2026
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3	Above 31.0% 98%	241	November 10, 2026
Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?	Yes 12%	128	December 2, 2026
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?	Exactly 4.2% 34%	111	November 6, 2026
Unemployment in November	Above 3.7% 95%	96	December 4, 2026
Unemployment in October	Above 3.7% 100%	78	November 6, 2026
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026	At least 185,000 99%	13	October 29, 2026
Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?	Yes 14%	11	June 4, 2027
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026	Above 235,000 jobs 98%	7	February 28, 2027
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026	At least 1680K 92%	3	October 29, 2026
ADP employment change in Oct 2026?	Above -25000 97%	1	November 4, 2026
How high will unemployment get in 2026?	Above 4.5% 13%	0	January 8, 2027
Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026	Above 447,500 jobs 96%	0	April 30, 2027
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026	Above 545,000 jobs 96%	0	April 30, 2027
U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?	Yes 51%	0	March 4, 2027
Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?	Yes 32%	0	April 30, 2027
Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?	Yes 12%	0	April 30, 2027
Will Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY?	Yes 80%	0	April 30, 2027
Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?	Yes 16%	0	December 4, 2026
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?	Yes 66%	0	March 31, 2027
How high will unemployment get before 2030?	Above 5% 90%	0	January 4, 2030
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?	Exactly 4.2% 89%	0	December 4, 2026
Will Delaware credit-intermediation employment increase YoY in 2026?	Yes 18%	0	April 30, 2027
US unemployment rate at year-end 2026	Above 3.0% 96%	0	January 8, 2027
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030	Above 3.0% 91%	0	January 10, 2031
Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?	Yes 78%	0	March 31, 2027
Canada unemployment rate in October	Above 6.0% 96%	0	November 6, 2026
Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?	Yes 86%	0	April 30, 2027
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027	Above 3.0% 96%	0	January 7, 2028
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028	Above 3.0% 94%	0	January 5, 2029
Brazil unemployment rate in September	Above 5.1% 90%	0	October 30, 2026
US unemployment rate at year-end 2029	Above 3.0% 93%	0	January 4, 2030
Germany unemployment rate in October	Above 5.9% 97%	0	October 30, 2026
ADP employment change in Nov 2026?	Above -25000 94%	0	December 2, 2026
Temporary-help employment in October	Above 2.440 million 87%	0	November 6, 2026
US unemployment rate at year-end 2031	Above 3.0% 91%	0	January 9, 2032
US job openings in September	Above 7.10M 50%	0	November 3, 2026
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032	Above 3.0% 91%	0	January 7, 2033
US unemployment rate at year-end 2036	Above 3.0% 90%	0	January 9, 2037
Australia unemployment rate in October	Above 4.3% 97%	0	November 19, 2026
US unemployment rate at year-end 2035	Above 3.0% 90%	0	January 4, 2036
US unemployment rate at year-end 2034	Above 3.0% 90%	0	January 5, 2035
US unemployment rate at year-end 2033	Above 3.0% 90%	0	January 6, 2034

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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