Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXCABOUT-26MAY22
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Hegseth at 29%, followed by Susie Wiles at 20%, Howard Lutnick at 14%. 294.9K contracts have traded, 2.4K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Pete Hegseth ■ Susie Wiles ■ Howard Lutnick · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Hegseth at 29%, followed by Susie Wiles at 20%, Howard Lutnick at 14%. 294.9K contracts have traded, 2.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next market close?
The listed close date is January 20, 2029. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-leave-trump-s-cabinet-next/">Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-leave-trump-s-cabinet-next/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillleavetrumpscabinetnext, title = {Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-leave-trump-s-cabinet-next/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
