| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|
| Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? | Anna Kelly 26% | 174.0K | January 27, 2029 |
| Blue wave in 2026? | Yes 82% | 144.3K | February 1, 2027 |
| Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026? | Yes 8.5% | 41.8K | January 1, 2027 |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) | Democrats, 8 to 10% 26% | 37.9K | November 3, 2027 |
| When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? | Before Jan 1, 2029 60% | 34.4K | January 1, 2029 |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? | Ilhan Omar 44% | 28.6K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will the SAVE America Act become law? | Before Jan 1, 2028 22% | 28.1K | January 1, 2028 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes 56% | 27.9K | February 1, 2027 |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1) | Above 150 92% | 26.4K | November 3, 2026 |
| Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) | October 21 48% | 20.3K | October 27, 2026 |
| Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25) | Above 170 98% | 20.2K | October 27, 2026 |
| Will France declare a state of emergency? | Before Jan 1, 2027 16% | 19.7K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will the Clarity Act become law? | Before Jan 1, 2028 20% | 19.1K | January 1, 2028 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal? | Before Jan 20, 2029 38% | 18.7K | January 20, 2029 |
| Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1) | Above 260 92% | 17.6K | November 3, 2026 |
| Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? | Yes 1.4% | 15.4K | November 3, 2026 |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) | Above 15 98% | 14.2K | October 27, 2026 |
| Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? | Ric Grenell 70% | 12.2K | January 1, 2027 |
| How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24) | Above 1 100% | 12.0K | November 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached? | Before Jan 1, 2028 66% | 11.7K | January 1, 2028 |
| Will the White House announce a briefing room swimming pool? | Before Jan 1, 2028 22% | 10.6K | January 1, 2028 |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) | Above 150 98% | 9.7K | October 27, 2026 |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? | At least 210 96% | 7.5K | January 3, 2027 |
| Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? | Before January 20, 2029 15% | 7.1K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? | Yes 18% | 6.4K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself? | Yes 2.1% | 5.7K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will the SAVE Act become law? | Yes 3.6% | 5.7K | January 4, 2027 |
| Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) | Before January 20, 2029 26% | 5.5K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump declare an election emergency? | Before Jan 1, 2027 30% | 5.4K | January 1, 2027 |
| When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/23-10/25) | Oct 24 97% | 5.2K | October 26, 2026 |
| How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/19-10/25) | 7 100% | 5.0K | October 26, 2026 |
| Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) | Above 3 94% | 4.8K | November 3, 2026 |
| How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? | At least 21 100% | 4.5K | November 1, 2026 |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) | Above 15 92% | 4.2K | November 3, 2026 |
| Trump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026? | 38.6 to 38.8 28% | 4.2K | October 30, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? | Before Jan 1, 2029 84% | 3.9K | January 1, 2029 |
| Who will be arrested in 2026? | Ilhan Omar 30% | 3.8K | January 1, 2027 |
| Who will Trump pardon in 2026? | Michael Cohen 24% | 3.5K | January 1, 2027 |
| How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? | 3 82% | 2.7K | November 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign during his term? | Yes 20% | 2.6K | January 21, 2029 |
| Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026? | Yes 98% | 2.6K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Democrats win a House supermajority in the Midterms? | Yes 4.0% | 2.5K | January 3, 2027 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes 4.5% | 2.4K | January 1, 2027 |
| Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? | Pete Hegseth 29% | 2.4K | January 20, 2029 |
| Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25) | Above 260 98% | 2.4K | October 27, 2026 |
| Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) | Above 3 98% | 2.3K | October 27, 2026 |
| Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? | Yes 5.9% | 2.2K | January 2, 2027 |
| How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? | Above 43% 6.8% | 2.1K | January 7, 2027 |
| Generic congressional ballot on Oct 25, 2026? | 8.4% 72% | 2.0K | October 25, 2026 |
| Will President Trump be impeached during his term? | Yes 68% | 2.0K | January 20, 2029 |