Brazil Odds on Kalshi Today: 33 Open Markets

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · 33 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 33 open Brazil events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Brazil Presidential election winner? (Flávio Bolsonaro 80%), Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory (Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6% 43%), Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (At least 48% 98%).

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Brazil Presidential election winner?	Flávio Bolsonaro 80%	673.4K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory	Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6% 43%	68.1K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent	At least 48% 98%	25.5K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent	At least 44% 98%	13.3K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?	Tocantins 98%	5.9K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory	Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% 78%	5.0K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 86%	4.7K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?	Flávio Bolsonaro 100%	2.5K	October 25, 2027
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)	Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% 95%	2.0K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory	Lula da Silva, ≥1% 15%	1.7K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?	United States 97%	1.6K	October 25, 2027
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November	Cut 1-25bps 84%	1.5K	November 4, 2026
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?	Yes 47%	690	October 26, 2026
Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo	Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats 32%	290	October 27, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout	At least 119,000,000 98%	196	January 1, 2027
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?	Yes 15%	119	January 1, 2027
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?	Before Mar 1, 2027 72%	39	March 1, 2027
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?	7 or more cuts 60%	32	January 1, 2027
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won	PL 94%	0	October 4, 2027
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?	Yes 7.5%	0	March 31, 2027
How high will Brazil inflation get this year?	Above 4.75% 88%	0	January 1, 2027
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?	Yes 66%	0	March 31, 2027
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?	Before Jan 1, 2028 73%	0	January 1, 2028
Brazil inflation rate in October	Above 3.90% 98%	0	November 12, 2026
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)	Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% 92%	0	October 25, 2027
What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?	Above 4.25% 93%	0	March 31, 2027
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026	Above $2.1 trillion 98%	0	April 1, 2027
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026	Above 1.0% 42%	0	December 2, 2026
Brazil Federal District Governor winner?	Celina Leão 98%	0	October 25, 2027
Brazil unemployment rate in September	Above 5.1% 90%	0	October 30, 2026
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)	Above 0.5% 90%	0	March 2, 2027
Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes?	Before Mar 1, 2027 60%	0	March 1, 2027
What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?	10% or above 80%	0	January 1, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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