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France politics odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · 17 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on French elections and French politics.

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 17 open France politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Will France declare a state of emergency? (Before Jan 1, 2027 16%), Next French presidential election winner? (Marine Le Pen 50%), French presidential election: who will advance? (Marine Le Pen 84%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Will France declare a state of emergency?Before Jan 1, 2027 16%19.7KJanuary 1, 2027
Next French presidential election winner?Marine Le Pen 50%15.4KMay 30, 2028
French presidential election: who will advance?Marine Le Pen 84%292April 17, 2028
Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)Marine Le Pen 82%198April 18, 2028
Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in France in 2026?Yes 16%100January 1, 2027
Laurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?Yes 8.5%72November 1, 2026
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Jean-Luc Mélenchon 97%20June 30, 2027
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)Jean-Luc Mélenchon 31%20April 18, 2028
Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?Yes 3.0%19April 18, 2028
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)Jean-Luc Mélenchon 34%0April 18, 2028
Will Brigitte Macron win her defamation lawsuit against Candace Owens?Yes 57%0January 1, 2028
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?Yes 24%0January 1, 2027
When will France announce a snap election?Yes 6.0%0January 2, 2027
Will France enact its 2027 budget in 2026?Yes 48%0January 1, 2027
AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percentAt least 48% 93%0November 3, 2027
Will France use Article 49.3 on its 2027 state budget in 2026?Yes 62%0January 1, 2027
Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?Before Jul 1, 2027 96%0July 1, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

France politics odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/france-politics/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicfrancepolitics, title = {France politics odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/france-politics/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/france-politics/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi France politics odds today?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 17 open France politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Will France declare a state of emergency? (Before Jan 1, 2027 16%), Next French presidential election winner? (Marine Le Pen 50%), French presidential election: who will advance? (Marine Le Pen 84%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.