Kalshi odds today › Tesla

Tesla odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · 18 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on Tesla deliveries, production and company milestones.

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 18 open Tesla events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 72%), Tesla Optimus released this year? (Yes 8.5%), Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 (Above 225000 98%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?Before 2028 72%6.7KJanuary 1, 2028
Tesla Optimus released this year?Yes 8.5%1.3KDecember 31, 2026
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027Above 225000 98%548July 31, 2027
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?Above 0 80%472January 1, 2027
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?Above 500000 in a single quarter 50%195April 1, 2027
Tesla Roadster deliveryBefore 2029 52%140January 1, 2029
How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?At least $275,000 99%135January 1, 2028
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?Yes 32%96January 1, 2027
Tesla total production in 2026Above 1.5 million 98%51March 31, 2028
Tesla total deliveries in 2026Above 1.55 million 98%11March 31, 2028
Tesla production in Q1 2027Above 325,000 94%6July 31, 2027
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes 3.0%3January 1, 2027
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?SpaceX / xAI 88%1April 27, 2027
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 61%0April 1, 2027
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?Yes 4.5%0January 1, 2027
Tesla headcount in 2026Above 120000 96%0March 31, 2028
Tesla energy deployment in Q4Above 8 GWh 96%0May 2, 2027
Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027Above 8 GWh 94%0July 31, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

Tesla odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopictesla, title = {Tesla odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/}}

HTML credit

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi Tesla odds today?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 18 open Tesla events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 72%), Tesla Optimus released this year? (Yes 8.5%), Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 (Above 225000 98%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.