Kalshi odds today › SpaceX

SpaceX odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · 16 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on SpaceX launches and Starship milestones.

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 16 open SpaceX events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: How many launches will SpaceX have in October? (Above 8 100%), When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 72%), How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 120 98%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?Above 8 100%9.4KNovember 1, 2026
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?Before 2028 72%6.7KJanuary 1, 2028
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?Above 120 98%1.4KJanuary 1, 2027
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?Before Dec 11, 2026 92%1.3KDecember 11, 2026
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Yes 69%533January 1, 2028
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?Yes 28%330January 1, 2027
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?Yes 63%48January 1, 2030
Will Musk deposit SpaceX shares into 10M Trump Accounts?Yes 44%26January 1, 2028
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?Yes 20%25January 1, 2030
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?Yes 16%23January 1, 2030
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?Above 3 94%22January 1, 2027
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?Starlink 87%11April 26, 2027
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?5 44%0January 1, 2027
Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?Yes 2.5%0January 1, 2027
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?Yes 2.0%0January 1, 2027
Will SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?Yes 29%0January 1, 2028

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

SpaceX odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/spacex/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicspacex, title = {SpaceX odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-25 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/spacex/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/spacex/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi SpaceX odds today?

As of October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 16 open SpaceX events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: How many launches will SpaceX have in October? (Above 8 100%), When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 72%), How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 120 98%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.