Supreme Court Odds on Kalshi Today: 63 Open Markets

Snapshot October 25, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · 63 open events · refreshed twice a day

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?	Before Jan 21, 2029 57%	500	January 21, 2029
Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?	Yes 9.6%	297	January 1, 2027
Michigan Supreme Court election winners?	Democrat sweep 92%	200	November 3, 2027
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?	Roybal v. Griffith 61%	103	January 1, 2027
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?	Yes 8.0%	31	January 1, 2029
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?	Andrew Oldham 14%	22	January 21, 2029
North Carolina Supreme Court winner?	Anita Earls 88%	14	November 3, 2027
When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?	Before Jul 1, 2027 36%	10	July 1, 2027
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?	Yes 22%	9	January 1, 2029
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?	Samuel Alito 66%	8	January 20, 2029
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?	Yes 4.7%	2	January 20, 2029
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?	0 46%	0	January 20, 2029
Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?	Yariv Levin 18%	0	October 27, 2027
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?	Yes 7.8%	0	January 1, 2027
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?	6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 74%	0	January 20, 2029
Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?	Yes 4.0%	0	November 3, 2026
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?	Before Jan 1, 2028 73%	0	January 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?	Yes 3.0%	0	November 3, 2026
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?	Yes 33%	0	January 1, 2029
Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?	Yes 5.9%	0	January 1, 2027
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?	Yes 82%	0	January 1, 2030
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?	Yes 3.9%	0	January 20, 2029
Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?	Yes 52%	0	August 1, 2028
Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?	Before Apr 1, 2027 74%	0	April 1, 2027
Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?	Yes 6.3%	0	January 1, 2027
Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?	Yes 37%	0	August 1, 2028
Ohio Supreme Court: Hawkins seat winner?	Dan Hawkins 77%	0	November 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?	Yes 58%	0	August 1, 2028
Will Jim Justice announce a West Virginia governor run?	Before Jan 29, 2028 68%	0	January 29, 2028
Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?	Yes 74%	0	August 1, 2028
Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?	Brett Busby 80%	0	November 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?	Yes 12%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?	Yes 25%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?	Yes 56%	0	August 1, 2028
Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?	Jimmy Blacklock 76%	0	November 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS treat trademark strength as a factual question?	Yes 65%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?	Yes 83%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?	Yes 62%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?	Yes 77%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?	Yes 54%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?	Yes 74%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?	Yes 9.0%	0	January 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?	Yes 65%	0	August 1, 2028
Montana Supreme Court winner?	Amy Eddy 61%	0	November 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS hold that EAJA covers immigration-detention habeas actions?	Yes 68%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let the Labor Department impose H-2A monetary remedies through agency proceedings?	Yes 20%	0	August 1, 2028
Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?	Kyle Hawkins 79%	0	November 3, 2027
Will Robert Jarosh be retained on the Wyoming Supreme Court?	Yes 89%	0	November 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?	Yes 30%	0	August 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?	Yes 34%	0	August 1, 2028

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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